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1. MB°¡ ¼öÄíÅ© ƯÇý¹ýÀ» ÃßÁøÇÑ´Ù´Â ´ëÀǸíºÐ


"ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ ÀÌÀ¯ ¶§¹®¿¡ Á¤ºÎ´Â ¼öÄíÅ© ä±Ç°ú °ü·ÃµÈ ÅõÀÚÀÇ °æ¿ì °ü·Ã ¼¼±ÝÀ» ¸éÁ¦ÇØ ÁÖ´Â ¹æÇâÀ¸·Î ¹ý·üÀ» °³Á¤ÇÏ·Á´Â °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ¿ÜÈ­Ç¥½Ã ä±ÇÀÇ ¹ßÇà Á¶°ÇÀ» ¶È°°°Ô ÇØÁÜÀ¸·Î½á ¿ÜÈ­ µµÀÔ¼±À» ´Ùº¯È­ÇÏ°í ¿Ü±¹ÀÚº»ÀÇ ±Þ°ÝÇÑ À¯Ãâ¿¡ µû¸¥ È¥¶õÀ» ¿ÏÈ­ÇÏÀÚ´Â ÃëÁö´Ù."(¹®È­ÀϺ¸ 3¿ù 11ÀÏ)
¸µÅ© : http://www.munhwa.com/news/view.html?no=2011031101033937191004


2. ±×·¯³ª Áø½ÇÀº ¾Æ·¡¿Í °°¾Æ º¸ÀÔ´Ï´Ù.

 ¡°³ªµµ Á» ÀǾÆÇß´Ù. óÀ½¿¡´Â ÀÌ ¹ý¾ÈÀÌ ¿Ö ´Ù½Ã ºÎȰÇß´ÂÁö ³»¸·À» ¸ô¶ú´Ù. Á¶¼¼¼ÒÀ§ ¼Ó±â·Ï µî¿¡ º°´Ù¸¥ ³íÀÇ ³»¿ëÀÌ ¾ø¾ú´ø °É·Î ºÁ¼­, ¸·ÈÄ¿¡¼­ ¹º°¡°¡ ÀÛ¿ëÇØ 󸮰¡ µÈ °Í °°´Ù´Â ´À³¦À» ¹Þ¾Ò´Ù. ´ç½Ã ÀϺΠ¾ß´ç ÀÇ¿øÀº UAE(¾Æ¶ø¿¡¹Ì¸®Æ®) ¿øÀü°ú °ü°è°¡ ÀÖ´Â °Í °°´Ù´Â ¸»µµ Çß´Ù.¡±

...ÇÏ·ç µÚÀÎ 12¿ù 7ÀÏÀº À̸í¹Ú ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ ¸»·¹ÀÌ½Ã¾Æ µî µ¿³²¾Æ ±¹°¡¸¦ ±¹ºó ¹æ¹®Çϱâ·Î µÅ ÀÖ¾ú´Ù. ´ç½Ã ¼öÄíÅ©¹ýÀÌ ´Ù½Ã »óÁ¤µÈ ¹è°æ°ú °ü·ÃÇØ ±âÀçÀ§ ÇÑ °ü°èÀÚ´Â ¡°´ç½Ã ÇÑ À¯·Â ½ÅŹȸ»ç ´ëÇ¥´Â ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ ¸»·¹ÀÌ½Ã¾Æ ±¹ºó¹æ¹®¿¡ µ¿ÇàÇ϶ó´Â û¿Í´ëÀÇ ¿¬¶ôÀ» ¹Þ¾Ò´Ù. ȸ»ç ´ëÇ¥°¡ ÀÌÀ¯¸¦ ¹°À¸´Ï±î ¡®¼öÄíÅ©¸¦ ¹ßÇàÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖµµ·Ï Áغñ¸¦ Ç϶󡯴 Á¶°ÇÀ» ¾ð±ÞÇß´Ù.

ÀÌ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ ¸»·¹ÀÌ½Ã¾Æ ¹æ¹®À» À§ÇØ ÁغñÇÑ °ø½Ä ¿¬¼³¹®¿¡µµ ¼öÄíÅ©¿Í °ü·ÃµÈ ³»¿ëÀÌ Æ÷ÇԵŠÀÖ¾ú´Ù´Â ¾ê±â°¡ ÀÖ´Ù¡±°í ¸»Çß´Ù. 12¿ù 6ÀÏ ¼öÄíÅ©¹ýÀÌ 1³â ¸¸¿¡ ºÎȰÇÑ À̸鿡´Â ÀÌ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÇ µ¿³²¾Æ ¼ø¹æÀÌ Á÷°£Á¢ÀûÀ¸·Î ¿¬°üµÅ ÀÖ¾úÀ½À» ¾Ë ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ´ë¸ñÀÌ´Ù. ¸»·¹À̽þƴ ¿øÀü °³¹ßÀ» ÃßÁøÇϰí ÀÖ´Â ±¹°¡·Î¼­ Àüü ¼öÄíÅ©ÀÇ 60% ÀÌ»óÀ» ¹ßÇàÇÑ´Ù.
"(ÁÖ°£Á¶¼± 3¿ù 20ÀÏ/Ŭ¸¯)


3. ¼öÄíÅ©·Î ÀÚº» À¯ÃâÀ» ¾ÈÁ¤½ÃŲ´Ù´Â MBÁ¤ºÎ ÁÖÀåÀÇ ¿À·ù ±Ù°Å


 

Malaysia's Disastrous Capital Flight

Money leaves the country on an unprecedented scale

(¸»·¹À̽þÆÀÇ Àý¸ÁÀûÀÎ ÀÚº» Å»Ãâ)

  Often with the exodus of money goes an exodus of talent as highly skilled persons disadvantaged by race or, as in the case of some Malays, disgusted by local corruption or primitive religious authorities, take themselves and their capital to Australia, Canada, India, China, etc. / Asia Sentinel.  

Churches are not the only thing to have been going up in flames in Malaysia. Take a look at the nation's foreign exchange reserves. They fell by close to 25 percent during 2009 according to investment bank UBS(UBSÀºÇà¿¡ µû¸£¸é 2009³â ±ÝÀ¶À§±â µ¿¾È ¸»·¹À̽þÆÀÇ ¿Üȯº¸À¯°í´Â 25% °¡±îÀÌ °¨¼ÒÇß´Ù) even though the country continued to run a huge surplus on the current account of its balance of payments. 

Says UBS: "Question: which Asian country had the biggest FX losses in 2009?" The answer is Malaysia and by a very large margin(2009³â¿¡ ¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÀÇ ¾î´À ³ª¶ó°¡ °¡Àå ¸¹Àº ¿Üȯ¼Õ½ÇÀ» ±â·ÏÇßÀ»±î? ±× ´ë´äÀº ¸Å¿ì Å« Â÷ÀÌ·Î ¸»·¹À̽þƴٰí UBSÀºÇàÃøÀº ¸»Çß´Ù); we estimate that official reserves fell by well more than one quarter on a valuation-adjusted basis". It describes the situation as "bizarre" and contrasts Malaysia with other countries with large current account surpluses – Thailand, China, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong – which have seen their reserves increase – as should be expected.(À̰ÍÀº ¿ÜȯÀÌ Å©°Ô Áõ°¡Çß´ø ű¹, Áß±¹, ´ë¸¸, ½Ì°¡Æú, È«Äáµî°ú ´ëÁ¶ÀûÀÎ Çö»óÀÌ´Ù). 

In short there has been an exodus of money from Malaysia on a scale which surpasses that which occurred during the Asian crisis. (°£´ÜÈ÷ ¸»ÇØ, ¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¿¡¼­ ±ÝÀ¶À§±â°¡ ÁøÇàµÇ´Â µ¿¾È ¸»·¹À̽þƿ¡¼­ ¾öû³­ ÀÚ±ÝÀÇ ¿¢¼Ò´õ½º°¡ ÁøÇàµÇ¾ú´Ù´Â ¸»ÀÌ´Ù). Nor is this just a mirage. The decline is also reflected in a sudden decline in base money supply – even while, thanks to Bank Negara, broader M2 has continued to grow modestly. 

Who is responsible for this massive outflow? And where has it gone? (´©°¡ ÀÌ ¾öû³­ ÀÚº»À¯Ãâ¿¡ Ã¥ÀÓÀÌ Àִ°¡? ±×¸®°í ±× ÀÚº»µéÀº ¾îµð·Î °¬´Â°¡?) The questions cannot be answered from the data and probably will not be by a government that knows its own state-controlled enterprises, headed by Petronas, may probably be responsible for part of it. The more certain reason however is the outflow of local private capital has been taking place on an unprecedented scale in response to political instability, massive official corruption and discrimination against non-Malays.(¸»·¹À̽þÆÀÇ Á¤Ä¡Àû ºÒ¾ÈÁ¤, ±¤¹üÀ§ÇÏ°Ô ÆÛÁ®ÀÖ´Â °ø°øºÐ¾ßÀÇ ºÎÆÐ»ó, ºñ¸»·¹ÀÌ½Ã¾Æ ÀÎÁ¾¿¡ ´ëÇÑ Â÷º°Á¤Ã¥µé ¶§¹®¿¡ ÀÚº»µéÀÇ À¯ÃâÀÌ ¹ß»ýÇÑ °ÍÀÌ´Ù). 

........Nor is there much evidence that the Middle East money which was supposed to be flowing into Muslim Malaysia((±ÝÀ¶À§±â µ¿¾È)Áßµ¿ÀÇ ÀڱݵéÀÌ ¹«½½¸²±¹°¡ÀÎ ¸»·¹À̽þƿ¡ ½ñ¾ÆÁ® µé¾î¿Ô´Ù´Â ¸í¹éÇÑ Áõ°Åµµ ¾ø´Ù) , into holiday apartments or Johor's massive Iskandar development zone, has been much in evidence. Malaysia's one recent success, the development of its sukuk (Islamic bond) market may have caused more capital outflow than inflow.(¸»·¹À̽þÆÀÇ ¼öÄíÅ©(À̽½¶÷ ä±Ç) ½ÃÀåÀÇ ÃÖ±ÙÀÇ ¼º°øÀº ÀÚº»ÀÇ À¯ÀÔº¸´Ù ´õ ¸¹Àº ÀÚº» ÀÌÅ»À» ÃÊ·¡ÇÏ¿´´Ù). At any rate any overall net inflow of foreign capital whether into bonds, equities, factories or real estate has been dwarfed by the exodus of Malaysian money. 

........ Malaysia has so far been saved from itself by the commodity price gains of the past five years – with even the late 2008 collapse now largely reversed. Oil and palm oil may be off their peaks but both are now double their prices of five years ago.(¸»·¹À̽þƴ Áö³­ 5³â°£ ¿øÀ¯³ª ÆÊ ¸ðÀϵîÀÇ »óǰ °¡°ÝÀÌ µÎ¹è·Î »ó½ÂÇϸ鼭 ¾ò¾îÁø ÆÇ¸Å ¼öÀÔÀ¸·Î ±¸¿ø¹ÞÀ» ¼ö ÀÖ¾ú´Ù). 

It is better not to imagine what will happen to Malaysia if prices collapse to 2004 levels and stay there(¸¸ÀÏ »óǰ °¡°ÝÀÌ 2004³â ¼öÁØÀ¸·Î ¶³¾îÁö¸é ¸»·¹À̽þƿ¡ ¾î¶² ÀÏÀÌ ÀϾÁö »ó»óÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â °ÍÀÌ ³´´Ù). Better now to address the real reasons behind capital outflow and lack of private investment. 

Posted by barred at 1/12/2010 04:46:00 AM 

Ãâó : http://national-express-malaysia.blogspot.com/


¡Ø ¸»·¹À̽þƴ Áßµ¿ÀÇ ÀÚ±ÝÀ» ²ø¾î´Ù°¡ ¼öÄíÅ© ä±ÇÀ» ¹ßÇàÇß´Ù. ±×·¯³ª ¼öÄíÅ©¸¦ ¹ßÇàÇÑ 34°³ÀÇ ±â¾÷ÀÌ ºÎµµ°¡ ³ªÀÚ À̽½¶÷À²¹ý¿¡ µû¸£¹Ç·Î 'À±¸®Àû ÅõÀÚ'¶ó´Â ¼±Àü°ú µ¿¶³¾îÁø °á°ú¸¦ º¸¿©ÁÖ°í, ÅõÀÚ¹æ½ÄÀÇ Åõ¸í¼º¿¡ Àǹ®ÀÌ Á¦±âµÇ¾ú´Ù. Áßµ¿ÀÇ ÅõÀÚÀÚµéÀº ¸»·¹À̽þƿ¡¼­ ÀÚº»À» ȸ¼öÇÏ¿´´Ù. À̷μ­ ¸»·¹À̽þƴ 2009³â ÇÑÇØ µ¿¾È ±Ø½ÉÇÑ ÀÚº» À¯ÃâÀ» °æÇèÇÏ¿´´Ù.

±×·¡¼­ ¸»·¹À̽þƴ Çѱ¹Ã³·³ °æÁ¦°¡ °Ç½ÇÇÑ Ã¤±ÇÆÇ¸Å ½ÃÀåÀ» ÇÊ¿ä·Î ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ¸»·¹À̽þƴ MB¿¡°Ô ¿øÀü°ø»ç¸¦ ÁÖ°í, MB´Â ¸»·¹À̽þƿ¡°Ô »þ¸®¾Æ ±ÝÀ¶ ½Ã½ºÅÛÀ» Çѱ¹¿¡ Á¤Âø½Ã۵µ·Ï µµ¿ÍÁÖ¸é ¾çÀÚÀÇ ÀÌÇØ°ü°è°¡ ¸Â¾Æ¶³¾îÁö´Â °ÍÀÌ´Ù. MBÀÇ ¿øÀü ¼öÁÖ ¾ß¸Á¿¡ ¼öÄíÅ© ¸é¼¼Æ¯Çý¹ýÀÌ °­ÇàµÇ°í, ±¹·ÐºÐ¿­ÀÌ ÀϾ°í, Á¶¿ë±â ¸ñ»ç ¾ÆµéÀÌ °ËÂû¿¡ ºÒ·Á´Ù´Ï°í, ±æÀÚ¿¬ ¸ñ»ç´Â ¹ý¿ø°ú ±³°úºÎ¿¡¼­ ÂÐÄÚ¸Ô°í, ±âµ¶±³°è´Â ¹ÝMB ½Ç·ÂÇà»ç ÁغñÇÏ´À¶ó ³­¸®°¡ ¹ú¾îÁö°í ÀÖ´Â °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

UAE¿øÀü, ÈÄÄí½Ã¸¶ ¿øÀü, ¸»·¹ÀÌ½Ã¾Æ ¿øÀü±îÁö ¿øÀüÀÌ ¹®Á¦´Ù.... °á¸»Àº Àç°æºÎ´Â 4.27À纸¼±ÀÌÈÄ ÀçÃßÁøÇÏ°Ú´Ù°í ¹àÇû°í, MB´Â ¸»·¹ÀÌ½Ã¾Æ ³ªÁýÃѸ®ÀÇ '¼öÄíÅ© ä±Ç ¸¹ÀÌ ÆÈ°Ô µµ¿Í´Þ¶ó"´Â ¿äû¿¡ "±×·¸°Ô µÇ±â¸¦ Èñ¸ÁÇÑ´Ù"°í ±àÁ¤ÇØ ÁÖ¾úÀ¸´Ï À纸¼±ÀÌÈÄ ºÒ²ÉÆ¢´Â ÀüÀïÀÌ ¹ú¾îÁú °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ÀÏÂï ¹ßÀ» »« ¹ÎÁÖ´çÀº ´À±ßÇϰí, Çѳª¶ó´ç ÀÇ¿øµéÀº °øÃµ±ÇÀ» À§ÇØ ÃѴ븦 ¸Å´Â °ÍÀÌ À¯¸®ÇÑÁö, °øÃµ±ÇÀ» ¹Þ¾Æµµ ³»³â¿¡ Áö¿ª±¸¿¡¼­ ³«¼±µÉ À§ÇèÀÌ ´õ Å«Áö¸¦ °è»êÇÏ´À¶ó º¹ÀâÇÒ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. MBÀÇ Ã»°èõ ºÒµµÀú Á¤½ÅÀ» °í·ÁÇÏ¸é ¾çÀÚÀÇ ´ëÃæµ¹Àº ºÒ°¡ÇÇÇØ º¸ÀδÙ.


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