È®·üÀ̶õ ¹«¾ùÀΰ¡? ¾Æ´Ï »ç¶÷µéÀº È®·üÀ» ¾î¶»°Ô Çؼ®Çϴ°¡? Àϱ⿹º¸¸¦ ¿¹·Î µé¾îº¸ÀÚ.
³»ÀÏ ºñ¿ÃÈ®·ü 20%¶ó¸é ´ç½ÅÀº ¿ì»êÀ» µé°í³ª°¡°Ú´Â°¡?
À§½ºÄܽŴëÇÐÀÇ ¼öÇаú ±³¼ö Á¶´Ü ¿¤·»¹ö±×´Â ÀÌ Áú¹®¿¡ ´ë´äÇÏÁö ¸øÇß´Ù. ¹Ì±â»óû¿¡ ±Ù¹®ÇÏ´Â º¥Å°Å¸ ºê¶ó¿îÀº ±â»óÇÐÀÚ°¡ ¾Æ´Ï°í »çȸ°úÇÐÀÚ·Î ÀϹÝÀÎÀÌ Àϱ⿹º¸¸¦ ¾î¶»°Ô Çؼ®Çϴ°¡¸¦ ´õ Àß ÀÌÇØÇÏ´Â ÀÏÀº Çϴµ¥, ±â»óû³» ´©±¸µµ ±×¿¡°Ô ºñ¿ÃÈ®À² 20%¸¦ 5ºÐ³»¿¡ ÀÌÇؽÃÅ°Áö ¸øÇß´Ù.
±×·¡¼ ÀϹÝÀε鿡°Ô Á÷Á¢ ¹°¾îºÃ´Ù.
³ °µÀûÀ¸·Î ¼öÇÐÀÚÀÇ ¾Æ·¡ ÀÇ°ß¿¡ µ¿ÀÇÇÑ´Ù.
"Imagine you have a database of days where the weather conditions were similar. If you find 1,000 days and notice that it rained the next day on 200 occasions, you might say there's a 20 percent chance of rain."
(³¯¾¾Á¶°ÇÀÌ ¿À´Ã°ú ºñ½ÁÇß´ø ³¯µé¿¡ ´ëÇÑ µ¥ÀÌÅͺ£À̽º°¡ ÀÖ´Ù°í, ÀÌ·± ³¯ 1,000 ÀÏ Áß ´ã³¯ ºñ ¿Â °æ¿ì°¡ 200 ³¯¿´´Ù¸é, ºñ¿ÃÈ®·ü 20%¶ó ÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ°Ú´Ù.)
¿ø¹®±â»ç
|